Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 889.726341 1009.187378 1143.643465 1307.153974 1501.922064 1728.124157 2013.093693
2025-02-02 723.129437 880.428359 1074.771815 1336.500953 1685.991024 2145.849270 2812.847472
2025-02-09 628.825796 799.816488 1023.821588 1346.247523 1811.473625 2480.276114 3558.148063
2025-02-16 556.316350 731.515539 971.631872 1335.911810 1895.738469 2762.781612 4295.571209
2025-02-23 515.163054 697.841145 958.631138 1373.964661 2051.517799 3180.010271 5371.340135
2025-03-02 484.271154 673.524630 953.757717 1420.310494 2225.139191 3662.811921 6729.737939
2025-03-09 452.600940 643.636314 935.441896 1440.296725 2355.306713 4097.158817 8157.879449
2025-03-16 420.357798 609.029844 904.890993 1433.904101 2434.967555 4452.244396 9558.335971
2025-03-23 399.126293 589.194809 895.264460 1461.335846 2581.873601 4981.556524 11635.259322
2025-03-30 366.980607 548.783386 846.987917 1411.761475 2566.244923 5150.722420 12826.066211
2025-04-06 339.476611 513.651047 804.194023 1366.638579 2551.396123 5317.793457 14103.415037
2025-04-13 314.035060 479.986576 760.873446 1315.111152 2513.913192 5420.866562 15240.854652
2025-04-20 306.397809 476.339079 771.141157 1372.118197 2733.037595 6261.125915 19607.466215
2025-04-27 295.217493 465.722851 767.875252 1401.722159 2897.104179 7018.494040 24395.615019
2025-05-04 282.625365 451.522902 756.412064 1412.265267 3017.094185 7694.085036 29559.524855
2025-05-11 268.583968 433.642743 736.265683 1401.255611 3080.310789 8219.366114 34622.511645
2025-05-18 261.609613 428.022143 739.170720 1441.725828 3289.155750 9322.509480 44649.438525
2025-05-25 255.979246 424.397742 745.564276 1491.039606 3535.324427 10687.184445 59177.375529
2025-06-01 247.861930 415.476304 740.397590 1512.314752 3706.383727 11859.676990 75198.319208
2025-06-08 237.690372 401.935594 724.544024 1505.509296 3791.502456 12726.937728 90992.664756
2025-06-15 231.474662 395.605515 723.192944 1534.716355 3998.564339 14268.909281 119984.832602
2025-06-22 218.687036 375.638203 691.291381 1481.940921 3925.277795 14438.670924 132097.530349
2025-06-29 207.183419 357.607396 662.363597 1433.932994 3859.817979 14630.557035 145913.958876